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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
7 - 1
Fulham U21s

Stansfield (17', 43'), Yokoyama (54', 74'), May (59'), Anderson (90+4'), Dykes (90+6')
Gardner-Hickman (50')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Godo (22')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Birmingham City and Fulham Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 26 at 12.30pm in League One

Fulham Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stoke U21s 0-1 Fulham U21s
Friday, October 25 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Fulham Under-21s had a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 1-0 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Fulham Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawFulham Under-21s
61.81% (0.026000000000003 0.03)19.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)18.49% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.03% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)34.97% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)56.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.07% (0.0040000000000049 0)10.92% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.89% (0.010000000000005 0.01)35.11% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Fulham Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)32.15% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)68.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 61.81%
    Fulham Under-21s 18.49%
    Draw 19.7%
Birmingham CityDrawFulham Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 7.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 61.81%
1-1 @ 8.83% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.7%
1-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 3.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 18.49%