Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Fulham Under-21s had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 1-0 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Fulham Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.