Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.08%) and 3-2 (5.46%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-21s would win this match.