Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.6%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-21s would win this match.