Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.51%) and 2-3 (5.18%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.