League One

League One | Gameweek 15

Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
1 - 1
Northampton

Stansfield (58')
Allsop (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pinnock (90+6')
Guthrie (41'), McGeehan (60'), Allsop (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Birmingham
Sunday, November 3 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 3-0 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, November 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 70.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Northampton Town
70.09% ( -0.25)	17.84% ( 0.02)	12.07% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 50.54% (

0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.02% (

0.54)

39.98% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.66% (

0.55)

62.34% (

-0.55)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.76% (

0.08)

10.25% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.41% (

0.19)

33.59% (

-0.18)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.31% (

0.74)

43.69% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.14% (

0.6)

79.87% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 70.07%

Northampton Town 12.07%

Draw 17.84%

Birmingham City	Draw	Northampton Town
2-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.41% Total : 70.07%	1-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.94% Total : 17.84%	0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.27% Total : 12.07%