League One Gameweek 15
Birmingham
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Northampton
  • Jay Stansfield 58' goal
  • Ryan Allsop 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Guthrie 41'
  • yellowcard Cameron McGeehan 60'
  • yellowcard Ryan Allsop 90'+1'
  • goal Mitchell Pinnock 90'+6'

Birmingham City vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 26, 2024 12.30pm
Mansfield 1 - 1 Birmingham
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
Lincoln 2 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Cameron McGeehan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 70.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Birmingham City 70.09% ▼ (-0.25)
Draw 17.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Northampton Town 12.07% ▲ (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.54% ▲ (+0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.02% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 2.5 39.98% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 3.5 37.66% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 3.5 62.34% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 4.5 20.29% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 4.5 79.71% ▼ (-0.43)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 89.76% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 0.5 10.25% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 66.41% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 33.59% ▼ (-0.19)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 56.31% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 0.5 43.69% ▼ (-0.74)
Over 1.5 20.14% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 1.5 79.87% ▼ (-0.61)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 70.07%
Draw 17.84%
Northampton Town 12.07%
Birmingham City
2-0 @ 11.61% ▼ (-0.22)
1-0 @ 10.19% ▼ (-0.23)
2-1 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8.82% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.08)
5-0 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 70.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 17.84%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 12.07%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Northampton
Jul 19, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Birmingham
  • goal Jordan James 31'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Northampton
Jul 24, 2021 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
Birmingham
  • Mitchell Pinnock 12' goal
  • Nicke Kabamba 23' goal
  • Caleb Chukwuemeka 68' goal
  • goal Ivan Sanchez 2'
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 38'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Northampton
Jul 21, 2015 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Birmingham
  • Nicky Adams 45' goal
  • Nicky Adams 59' goal
  • goal Demarai Gray 3'
  • goal Lee Novak 68'

Form Data

Sutton 0 - 1 Birmingham
Birmingham 7 - 1 Fulham U21s
Mansfield 1 - 1 Birmingham
Birmingham 2 - 0 Bolton
Lincoln 1 - 3 Birmingham
Shrewsbury 0 - 4 Birmingham
Northampton 3 - 0 Leicester U21s
Northampton 1 - 2 Kettering
Lincoln 2 - 1 Northampton
Northampton 3 - 0 Crawley
Stockport 1 - 1 Northampton
Northampton 1 - 0 Leyton Orient