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Championship header 2

League One

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League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Stockport County

Birmingham
2 - 0
Stockport

May (26', 35')
Stansfield (39'), Cochrane (50'), Anderson (61'), Allsop (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pye (48'), Touray (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Blackpool 1-2 Birmingham
Sunday, December 1 at 1pm in FA Cup

Stockport County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stockport 3-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 52.03%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawStockport County
52.03% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)23.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.92% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02)42.34% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.25% (0.022999999999996 0.02)64.75% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67%16.33% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.92% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47% (0.025999999999996 0.03)30.52% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25% (0.033000000000001 0.03)66.74% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 52.03%
    Stockport County 24.92%
    Draw 23.04%
Birmingham CityDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.18% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.87%
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.66%
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 52.03%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.04%
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 5.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 24.92%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Stockport

Birmingham City
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Stockport County
9.1%
55