Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 52.03%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.