Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.