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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Stockport County |
| 32.64% ( | 25.81% | 41.53% |
| Both teams to score 54.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.03% ( | 49.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.05% ( | 71.94% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( | 28.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% ( | 64.76% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( | 23.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( | 58.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 3-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.65% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 9.87% 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 7.08% 1-3 @ 4.2% 0-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.53% |