Northampton Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Burton Albion

Northampton
2 - 5
Burton Albion

Dobson (2'), Waghorn (47')
Waghorn (34')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Akoto (13'), Willis (36'), Webster (39'), Donovan (49'), Whitfield (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Northampton Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
45.32% (0.019999999999996 0.02)24.82% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)29.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.19% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (0.041999999999994 0.04)46.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.98% (0.036999999999999 0.04)69.01% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (0.025999999999996 0.03)20.69% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (0.039999999999999 0.04)53.29% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (0.015999999999991 0.02)29.15% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.91% (0.015999999999998 0.02)65.09% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 45.32%
    Burton Albion 29.86%
    Draw 24.82%
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 45.32%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.86%

How you voted: Northampton vs Burton Albion

Northampton Town
68.8%
Draw
22.9%
Burton Albion
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Northampton
0-0
Burton Albion
Hondermarck (26'), Brady (27'), Kalinauskas (34'), Chouchane (54')
Watt (33'), McGeehan (34'), Orsi (43')
> Preview
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Burton Albion
0-2
Northampton
Leonard (22'), Pinnock (36')
Moulden (47'), Leonard (90+4')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Northampton
2-0
Burton Albion
Leonard (54'), Hoskins (78')

Powell (25'), Lubala (90')
> Preview
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Northampton
0-2
Burton Albion

Kioso (64'), Hoskins (82')
Bostwick (77'), Edwards (90+4')
Clare (82')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Burton Albion
1-3
Northampton
Akins (90+2' pen.)
Vassilev (21'), Quinn (88')
Smith (2', 67'), Lines (81')
Chukwuemeka (53')