Exeter City
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Birmingham logo

Exeter
1 - 2
Birmingham

Sweeney (32')
Alli (40'), Cole (84'), Doyle (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Harris (22'), Anderson (78')
Buchanan (58'), Yokoyama (90'), Peacock-Farrell (90+5')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Exeter City and Birmingham City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One

Birmingham City

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBirmingham City
23.95% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)23.73% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)52.32% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.73% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.66% (0.055999999999997 0.06)46.34% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.37% (0.053000000000001 0.05)68.62% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (0.010999999999996 0.01)33.5% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.86% (0.011000000000003 0.01)70.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31% (0.037000000000006 0.04)17.69% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.66% (0.065000000000005 0.07)48.33% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 23.95%
    Birmingham City 52.31%
    Draw 23.73%
Exeter CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 6.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.14% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 3.54% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 23.95%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 8.89%
1-3 @ 5.61% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.43% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 52.31%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Exeter
0-2
Birmingham

Crama (28'), Francis (63'), Woods (64'), Doyle (84')
Iwata (11'), Stansfield (83' pen.)
Davies (39'), Bielik (61')
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