EFL Trophy
Dec 10, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT St James Park
  • Pierce Sweeney 32' goal
  • Millenic Alli 40' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 84' yellowcard
  • Kami Doyle 85' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Harris 22'
  • yellowcard Lee Buchanan 58'
  • goal Keshi Anderson 78'
  • yellowcard Ayumu Yokoyama 90'
  • yellowcard Bailey Peacock-Farrell 90'+5'

Exeter City vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Birmingham City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result

Exeter City 23.95% (-0.03)
Draw 23.73% (-0.02)
Birmingham City 52.32% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.73% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.66% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 46.34% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 31.37% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 68.62% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 15.63% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.37% (-0.04)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 66.49% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 33.5% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 29.86% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 70.14% (-0.01)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 82.31% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 17.69% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 51.66% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 48.33% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Exeter City 23.95%
Draw 23.73%
Birmingham City 52.31%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 6.48% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.14% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 23.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.32% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.73%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.72% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.89%
1-3 @ 5.61% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.13% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 52.31%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 5
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT St James Park
  • Tristan Crama 28' yellowcard
  • Edward Francis 63' yellowcard
  • Ryan Woods 64' yellowcard
  • Kami Doyle 84' yellowcard
  • goal Tomoki Iwata 11'
  • yellowcard Ben Davies 39'
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 61'
  • goal Jay Stansfield 83'