FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
2 - 0
Chesterfield

Crama (45+2'), Magennis (69')
Woods (47'), Francis (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Oldaker (48'), Cook (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Exeter City and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Chesterfield

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Chesterfield
39.03% ( -0.16)	24.25% ( 0.02)	36.71% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 60.49% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.88% (

-0.08)

42.12% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.47% (

-0.08)

64.52% (

0.07)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.36% (

-0.11)

21.63% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.24% (

-0.18)

54.75% (

0.17)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.19% (

0.04)

22.81% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.48% (

0.06)

56.52% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 39.03%

Chesterfield 36.71%

Draw 24.24%

Exeter City	Draw	Chesterfield
2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.03%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.24%	1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.71%