FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Exeter2 - 0Chesterfield
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
30
We said: Exeter City 1-2 Chesterfield
Chesterfield may be competing in the league below Exeter, but they have enough quality in their squad to compete with their League One hosts, and after winning three of their previous five away games, we think the Spireites could produce another strong away performance to claim a narrow victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Chesterfield |
39.03% ( -0.16) | 24.25% ( 0.02) | 36.71% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 60.49% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
