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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Barrow win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Barrow |
| 59.18% ( | 21.28% ( | 19.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.19% ( | 40.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.8% ( | 63.19% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.53% ( | 13.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.53% ( | 40.46% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% ( | 34.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.75% ( | 71.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Barrow |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 3-1 @ 6.64% ( 3-0 @ 6.25% ( 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 5-1 @ 1.34% 5-0 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.33% Total : 59.18% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.54% |