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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Wrexham


Sraha (34')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lee (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawWrexham
35.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.56%36.88%
Both teams to score 49.12% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)56.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42% (0.004999999999999 0)77.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)30.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.5% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)65.51% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 35.55%
    Wrexham 36.87%
    Draw 27.56%
Burton AlbionDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 7.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 35.55%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 8.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 10.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 36.87%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Wrexham

Burton Albion
12.9%
Draw
12.9%
Wrexham
74.2%
31
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2023 7.30pm
Second Round
Wrexham
2-3
Burton Albion
Dalby (5'), Davies (90+2')
Davies (26')
Oshilaja (1'), Helm (3'), Sweeney (64')
Sweeney (36'), Hughes (90+4')
rhs 2.0


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