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FA Cup

Burton Albion
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 1, 2024 at 2pm UK
Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Tamworth

Bennett (92')
Godwin-Malife (41'), Armer (56'), Watt (64'), Larsson (90+8'), Whitfield (116')
FT
(aet)
Maher (94')
Cullinane-Liburd (25'), Williams (52'), Fletcher (110'), Crompton (118'), Enoru (120+2')
Tamworth win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Burton Albion and Tamworth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Charlton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

Tamworth

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Tamworth 2-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 49.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (7.7%).

Result
Burton AlbionDrawTamworth
49.93% (-0.738 -0.74)25.34% (0.403 0.4)24.73% (0.336 0.34)
Both teams to score 50.56% (-0.879 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75% (-1.325 -1.33)52.25% (1.324 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04% (-1.151 -1.15)73.95% (1.15 1.15)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (-0.84 -0.84)20.94% (0.839 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-1.328 -1.33)53.68% (1.328 1.33)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.95% (-0.428 -0.43)36.05% (0.428 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17% (-0.44 -0.44)72.83% (0.44 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 49.93%
    Tamworth 24.73%
    Draw 25.33%
Burton AlbionDrawTamworth
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 49.93%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.389 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.311 0.31)
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.93% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 24.73%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Tamworth

Burton Albion
71.4%
Tamworth
28.6%
7