Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 17.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Tamworth |
| 60.86% ( | 21.31% ( | 17.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.33% ( | 43.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.94% ( | 66.06% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.12% ( | 13.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.71% ( | 41.28% ( |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.92% ( | 38.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.16% ( | 74.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Tamworth |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 2-0 @ 10.3% ( 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 4-0 @ 3.35% ( 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 5-1 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 60.85% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.31% | 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0-2 @ 2.46% ( 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 2-3 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 17.83% |