National League | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Lamb Ground

Tamworth
2 - 1
Gateshead

Tshikuna (24'), Creaney (73')
Creaney (48'), Morrison (63'), Cullinane-Liburd (79'), Acquaye (81'), Fairlamb (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Whelan (90+5')
Radcliffe (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Tamworth and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions

Last Game: Halifax 3-2 Tamworth
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Tamworth	Draw	Gateshead
29.01% ( 0.76)	24.39% ( -0.25)	46.6% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 57.1% (

1.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.68% (

1.54)

45.31% (

-1.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.35% (

1.46)

67.65% (

-1.46)

Tamworth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.99% (

1.34)

29.01% (

-1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.08% (

1.62)

64.92% (

-1.62)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.44% (

0.41)

19.56% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.53% (

0.66)

51.47% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Tamworth 29.01%

Gateshead 46.6%

Draw 24.39%

Tamworth	Draw	Gateshead
2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.01%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.38) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.39%	1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.5) 0-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.06% Total : 46.6%