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National League | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamb Ground
Gateshead

Tamworth
2 - 1
Gateshead

Tshikuna (24'), Creaney (73')
Creaney (48'), Morrison (63'), Cullinane-Liburd (79'), Acquaye (81'), Fairlamb (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Whelan (90+5')
Radcliffe (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Tamworth and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Halifax 3-2 Tamworth
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League

We said: Tamworth 0-1 Gateshead

Despite the loss of their first-team manager to League One Crawley, Gateshead still have enough leadership and knowhow in their ranks to collect points whilst the search for a permanent coach rumbles on. Tamworth are sliding down the table once again after a promising period in September, and we expect the Lambs to suffer a third consecutive defeat on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
TamworthDrawGateshead
29.01% (0.76 0.76) 24.39% (-0.245 -0.25) 46.6% (-0.512 -0.51)
Both teams to score 57.1% (1.359 1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68% (1.544 1.54)45.31% (-1.542 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.35% (1.46 1.46)67.65% (-1.458 -1.46)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (1.337 1.34)29.01% (-1.334 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.08% (1.622 1.62)64.92% (-1.619 -1.62)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (0.408 0.41)19.56% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.53% (0.657 0.66)51.47% (-0.653 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 29.01%
    Gateshead 46.6%
    Draw 24.39%
TamworthDrawGateshead
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.149 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.166 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.164 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.01%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.193 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.383 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.502 -0.5)
0-2 @ 7.56% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-3 @ 5.09% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.11% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.143 0.14)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.045 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 46.6%

How you voted: Tamworth vs Gateshead

Tamworth
11.3%
Draw
17.7%
Gateshead
71.0%
62
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City17115133122138
2Forest Green RoversForest Green17114233141937
3Barnet17111534201434
4Gateshead1710342822633
5Oldham AthleticOldham178722517831
6Rochdale1793527161130
7Yeovil TownYeovil178452115628
8Halifax TownHalifax177551916326
9Solihull MoorsSolihull177462628-225
10AltrinchamAltrincham176652623324
11Eastleigh176562525023
12Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red175752718922
13Sutton UnitedSutton176472526-122
14Tamworth176472028-822
15Southend UnitedSouthend175662020021
16Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool175661821-321
17Aldershot TownAldershot174672127-618
18Fylde175392336-1318
19Woking174581824-617
20Braintree TownBraintree174491320-716
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead174492130-916
22WealdstoneWealdstone173681625-915
23Boston UnitedBoston1725101630-1411
24Ebbsfleet1715111537-228


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