Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tamworth | Draw | Gateshead |
29.01% ( 0.76) | 24.39% ( -0.25) | 46.6% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 57.1% ( 1.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.68% ( 1.54) | 45.31% ( -1.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.35% ( 1.46) | 67.65% ( -1.46) |
Tamworth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.99% ( 1.34) | 29.01% ( -1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.08% ( 1.62) | 64.92% ( -1.62) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.44% ( 0.41) | 19.56% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.53% ( 0.66) | 51.47% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Tamworth | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.01% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.38) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.5) 0-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.06% Total : 46.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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