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Oldham Athletic
National League | Gameweek 18
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park

Oldham
4 - 0
Tamworth

Norwood (15', 37' pen., 45+3'), Kay (73')
Conlon (29'), Stones (51'), Clucas (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Tamworth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Barnet 0-0 Oldham
Saturday, November 9 at 5.30pm in National League

Tamworth

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Tamworth 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawTamworth
52.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.33% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 52.08% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.5% (0.012 0.01)49.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47% (0.010999999999999 0.01)71.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)18.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (0.012 0.01)50.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.21% (0.0049999999999955 0)35.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)72.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 52.32%
    Tamworth 23.33%
    Draw 24.34%
Oldham AthleticDrawTamworth
1-0 @ 11.26%
2-1 @ 9.65%
2-0 @ 9.39%
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 52.32%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 23.33%

How you voted: Oldham vs Tamworth

Oldham Athletic
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
Tamworth
11.1%
9