Wrexham AFC
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Crewe Alexandra

Wrexham
1 - 0
Crewe

James (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Connolly (67')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Wrexham and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-1 Bradford
Saturday, December 7 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wrexham in this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawCrewe Alexandra
43.32% (0.083000000000006 0.08)26.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)30.09% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.67% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.02% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)53.98% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.57% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)75.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (0.031000000000006 0.03)24.72% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.73% (0.042999999999999 0.04)59.27% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)32.69% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.76% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)69.24% (0.083999999999989 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 43.32%
    Crewe Alexandra 30.09%
    Draw 26.58%
WrexhamDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.29% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.68% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 43.32%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.05% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.09%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Crewe

Wrexham
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Crewe Alexandra
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 45
Crewe
0-3
Wrexham

Williams (45'), Rowe (45'), Nevitt (85')
Cooney (54')
Palmer (24'), Mullin (45+1'), Cannon (61')
McClean (45')
Oct 10, 2023 7.30pm
Group Stage
Crewe
0-3
Wrexham

Colkett (33')
Offord (72')
Offord (5' og.), Davies (13'), Young (73' pen.)
Davies (11')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Wrexham
3-3
Crewe
Mullin (40', 47'), Fletcher (90+5')
Palmer (11'), Parkinson (12'), McClean (45+2'), Boyle (45+4'), Mullin (90+2')
Barnett (36')
Demetriou (24'), Long (45+5' pen.), Tracey (65')
Tracey (33'), Williams (79'), Davies (82'), Holicek (87')