League Two

League Two | Gameweek 18

Nov 30, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 1
Crewe

Sadi (2')
Harris (64'), Jones (72'), Kelly (81'), Neal (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lankester (82' pen.)
Connolly (11'), Billington (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Doncaster
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Crewe
Monday, November 25 at 8pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
33.69% ( -1.61)	25.67% ( 0.51)	40.64% ( 1.1)

Both teams to score 54.94% (

-2.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.91% (

-2.54)

49.09% (

2.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.84% (

-2.34)

71.16% (

2.34)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19% (

-2.18)

27.8% (

2.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.61% (

-2.87)

63.39% (

2.87)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.1% (

-0.57)

23.9% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.89% (

-0.83)

58.11% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 33.69%

Crewe Alexandra 40.64%

Draw 25.67%

Carlisle United	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.86% Total : 33.69%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.67) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.81) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.47) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.64%