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Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Doncaster Rovers

Carlisle
0 - 0
Doncaster


Mellish (60')
FT

Maxwell (5'), Molyneux (31'), McGrath (45+1')
McGrath (90+6')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 2-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
21.97% (0.163 0.16)22.21% (0.016999999999999 0.02)55.82% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 57.29% (0.188 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.24% (0.137 0.14)41.75% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.84% (0.137 0.14)64.16% (-0.13900000000001 -0.14)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27% (0.22799999999999 0.23)32.73% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (0.256 0.26)69.28% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16% (-0.012 -0.01)14.83% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)43.14% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 21.97%
    Doncaster Rovers 55.82%
    Draw 22.21%
Carlisle UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 5.78% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.42%
2-0 @ 3.03% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 21.97%
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.21%
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.84% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 6.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.62% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.51% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.68% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.67% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.14% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 55.82%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Doncaster
2-1
Carlisle
Maxwell (5'), Hurst (67')
Dennis (87')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Carlisle
3-0
Doncaster
Guy (44'), Stretton (53', 66')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Second Round
Carlisle
1-2
Doncaster
Mellish (78')
Kayode (43')
Whiteman (32', 40')
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Carlisle
2-1
Doncaster
Adams (34'), Mason (85' og.)
Joyce (18'), Gillesphey (55')
Rowe (90')
Blair (56'), Lawlor (82')
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
Doncaster
2-2
Carlisle
Rowe (18'), Marquis (44')
Marquis (93')
Miller (15'), Ibehre (79')
Grainger (49')