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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 2-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 21.97% ( | 22.21% ( | 55.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.24% ( | 41.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.84% ( | 64.16% ( |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.27% ( | 32.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.71% ( | 69.28% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.16% ( | 14.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.86% ( | 43.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 5.78% ( 1-0 @ 5.42% 2-0 @ 3.03% ( 3-1 @ 2.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 3-0 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 21.97% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0-2 @ 8.84% ( 1-3 @ 6.28% ( 0-3 @ 5.62% ( 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 1-4 @ 3% ( 0-4 @ 2.68% ( 2-4 @ 1.67% ( 1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0-5 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 55.82% |