League One

League One | Gameweek 22

Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
3 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Fitzwater (72', 72'), Alli (78', 78'), Richards (90+6')
Niskanen (13'), Niskanen (13'), McDonald (44'), McDonald (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Omochere (61', 61')
Conteh (30'), Conteh (30'), Lindsay (68'), Lindsay (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Bristol Rovers
48.74% ( -0.02)	25.64%	25.62% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.47% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.23% (

0.02)

52.77% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.6% (

0.02)

74.4% (

-0.02)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.33% (

21.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.19%

54.81% (

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.44% (

0.03)

35.56% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.67% (

0.03)

72.33% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 48.73%

Bristol Rovers 25.62%

Draw 25.64%

Exeter City	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 48.73%	1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 7.97% 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 25.62%