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Ilmari Niskanen
13'
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Ilmari Niskanen
13'
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Kevin McDonald
44'
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Kevin McDonald
44'
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Jack Fitzwater
72'
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Jack Fitzwater
72'
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Millenic Alli
78'
-
Millenic Alli
78'
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Jake Richards
90'+6'
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Kamil Conteh
30'
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Kamil Conteh
30'
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Promise Omochere
61'
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Promise Omochere
61'
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Jamie Lindsay
68'
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Jamie Lindsay
68'
Exeter City vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Exeter City Goals
Bristol Rovers Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 48.73%
0-0 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.64%
1-2 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 25.62%
Head to Head
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Connor Taylor
31'
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Bryant Bilongo
33'
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Isaac Hutchinson
67'
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Shaq Forde
90'
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Jay Bird
19'
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Caleb Watts
35'
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Edward Francis
42'
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Millenic Alli
49'
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Demetri Mitchell
88'
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Cheick Diabate
45'
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Brandon Aguilera
15'
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James Wilson
17'
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Jack Hunt
64'
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Tristan Crama
80'
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Antony Evans
90'+3'
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Sonny Cox
12'
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Reece Cole
77'
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Yanic Wildschut
90'+7'
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Aaron Collins
57'
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Josh Coburn
64'
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Scott Sinclair
74'
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Sam Nombe
13'
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Archie Collins
45'+2'
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Timothee Dieng
85'
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Sam Nombe
90'+2'
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Jevani Brown
72'
-
Sam Nombe
82'
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John Marquis
63'
-
Ryan Loft
90'+2'
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Luca Hoole
10'
-
Jevani Brown
24'
-
Jonathan Grounds
90'