League One Gameweek 21
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Billy Bodin 8' goal
  • Billy Bodin 8' goal
  • Kegs Chauke 21' yellowcard
  • Kegs Chauke 21' yellowcard
  • Jason Sraha 59' yellowcard
  • Ciaran Gilligan 69' yellowcard
  • Terence Vancooten 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Woods 13'
  • yellowcard Ryan Woods 13'
  • yellowcard Kevin McDonald 43'
  • yellowcard Kevin McDonald 43'
  • goal Josh Magennis 45'+2'
  • goal Josh Magennis 45'+2'
  • goal Millenic Alli 71'
  • yellowcard Millenic Alli 81'
  • yellowcard Jake Richards 85'

Burton Albion vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Dec 14, 2024 12.30pm
Leyton Orient 0 - 0 Burton Albion
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Rumarn Burrell

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
Exeter 1 - 2 Barnsley
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Millenic Alli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result

Burton Albion 31.84% (-0.19)
Draw 27.01% (-0.03)
Exeter City 41.15% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.1% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.95% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 55.05% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 23.69% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 76.31% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 10.54% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 89.46% (-0.03)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 68.01% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 32% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 31.55% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 68.46% (+0.13)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 73.67% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 26.33% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 38.53% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 61.47% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 31.84%
Draw 27.01%
Exeter City 41.15%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.43% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.01%
Exeter City
0-1 @ 11.24% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.55% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.5% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.8% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.34% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.15%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT St James Park
  • Pierce Sweeney 30' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 41' goal
  • Jack Aitchison 43' yellowcard
  • Zak Jules 45'+6' redcard
  • Tom Carroll 65' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Caprice 2'
  • yellowcard Rekeem Harper 55'
  • yellowcard Mustapha Carayol 83'
League One Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Joe Powell 26' yellowcard
  • Jasper Moon 59' yellowcard
  • Steve Seddon 81' yellowcard
  • Steve Seddon 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Reece Cole 45'+3'
  • goal Ryan Trevitt 75'
League One Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Sam Winnall 84' goal
League One Gameweek 10
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Deji Oshilaja 63'
  • goal Davis Keillor-Dunn 69'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 22, 2016 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ollie Watkins 56' goal
League Two
Dec 6, 2014 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Christian Ribeiro 87' goal
  • goal Jacob Blyth 60'
  • yellowcard Damien McCrory 93'