League One

League One | Gameweek 21

Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Exeter

Bodin (8', 8')
Chauke (21'), Chauke (21'), Sraha (59'), Gilligan (69'), Vancooten (78')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Magennis (45+2', 45+2'), Alli (71')
Woods (13'), Woods (13'), McDonald (43'), McDonald (43'), Alli (81'), Richards (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 14 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Exeter City
31.84% ( -0.19)	27.01% ( -0.03)	41.15% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 50.1% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.95% (

0.05)

55.05% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.69% (

0.04)

76.31% (

-0.04)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.01% (

-0.1)

32% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.55% (

-0.12)

68.46% (

0.12)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.67% (

0.14)

26.33% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.53% (

0.19)

61.47% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 31.84%

Exeter City 41.15%

Draw 27.01%

Burton Albion	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.84%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.01%	0-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.15%