League One

League One | Gameweek 20

Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
1 - 2
Barnsley

Magennis (13', 13')
Caldwell (12')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Nwakali (49'), Keillor-Dunn (58')
McCarthy (11'), McCarthy (11'), Pines (90+1'), Lofthouse (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Barnsley
34.71% ( 0)	24.93% ( -0)	40.36% ( -0)

Both teams to score 57.72% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.41% (

45.59% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.09% (

67.91% (

-0)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.48% (

25.52% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.63% (

60.37% (

-0)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.5%

22.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.94%

56.06% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 34.71%

Barnsley 40.36%

Draw 24.92%

Exeter City	Draw	Barnsley
2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.71%	1-1 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92%	1-2 @ 8.72% 0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 4.34% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.36%