/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fbarlo.png)
-
Gary Caldwell
12'
-
Josh Magennis
13'
-
Josh Magennis
13'
-
Conor McCarthy
11'
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Conor McCarthy
11'
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Kelechi Nwakali
49'
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Davis Keillor-Dunn
58'
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Donovan Pines
90'+1'
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Kyran Lofthouse
90'+3'
Exeter City vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnsley in this match.
Result
Exeter City
34.71%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
24.93%
▼
(-0.01)
Barnsley
40.36%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
57.72%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
45.59%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
32.09%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
67.91%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
16.14%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
83.86%
▼
(-0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5
74.48%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
25.52%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
39.63%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
60.37%
▼
(-0.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5
77.5%
Under 0.5
22.5%
Over 1.5
43.94%
Under 1.5
56.06%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Exeter City
34.71%
Draw
24.92%
Barnsley
40.36%
Exeter City
2-1
@
7.99%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 34.71%
1-0 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 34.71%
Draw
1-1
@
11.69%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
Barnsley
1-2
@
8.72%
0-1 @ 8.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.39%
1-3 @ 4.34%
0-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 40.36%
0-1 @ 8.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.39%
1-3 @ 4.34%
0-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 40.36%