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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 23.89% ( | 25.94% ( | 50.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.78% ( | 55.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.55% ( | 76.45% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.55% ( | 38.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.8% ( | 75.19% ( |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% ( | 22.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.6% ( | 55.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 2-1 @ 5.86% ( 2-0 @ 3.87% ( 3-1 @ 1.87% ( 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 3-0 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.54% Total : 23.89% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 2-2 @ 4.43% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 12.81% ( 0-2 @ 9.69% ( 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0-3 @ 4.88% ( 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 1-4 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 50.16% |