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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 56.1% ( | 22.93% ( | 20.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.84% ( | 46.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.54% ( | 68.46% ( |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.73% ( | 16.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.18% ( | 45.81% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( | 36.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% ( | 72.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 3-0 @ 5.87% ( 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 5-1 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.98% |