League One Gameweek 21
Dec 23, 2024 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The People's Pension Stadium
  • Tyreece John-Jules 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christoph Klarer 45'+1'
  • goal Jay Stansfield 79'

Crawley Town vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last game
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
Peterborough 4 - 3 Crawley
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
Birmingham 2 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 68.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result

Crawley Town 13.7% (-0.70)
Draw 17.76% (+0.25)
Birmingham City 68.54% (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.04% (-3.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.65% (-2.93)
Under 2.5 35.34% (+2.94)
Over 3.5 42.62% (-3.33)
Under 3.5 57.37% (+3.33)
Over 4.5 24.29% (-2.84)
Under 4.5 75.71% (+2.84)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5 61.84% (-2.88)
Under 0.5 38.15% (+2.88)
Over 1.5 25.08% (-2.89)
Under 1.5 74.92% (+2.89)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 90.61% (-0.67)
Under 0.5 9.38% (+0.67)
Over 1.5 68.42% (-1.61)
Under 1.5 31.58% (+1.61)

Score analysis

Crawley Town 13.7%
Draw 17.76%
Birmingham City 68.54%
Crawley Town
2-1 @ 3.93% (-0.15)
1-0 @ 3.45% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.24)
3-1 @ 1.26% (-0.16)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 13.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.16% (+0.35)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.32)
0-0 @ 3.58% (+0.51)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.23)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.76%
Birmingham City
0-2 @ 10.02% (+0.87)
1-2 @ 9.66% (+0.13)
0-1 @ 8.47% (+0.97)
0-3 @ 7.91% (+0.47)
1-3 @ 7.62% (-0.14)
0-4 @ 4.68% (+0.14)
1-4 @ 4.51% (-0.23)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.38)
0-5 @ 2.21% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.17% (-0.30)
1-5 @ 2.13% (-0.18)
2-5 @ 1.03% (-0.18)
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 68.54%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Che Adams 27' goal
  • David Davis 38' goal
  • Che Adams 42' goal
  • Robert Tesche 49' goal
  • Che Adams 66' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Payne 43'
  • yellowcard Billy Clifford 75'
  • goal Panutche Camara 86'