League One

League One | Gameweek 21

Dec 23, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
0 - 1
Birmingham

John-Jules (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stansfield (79')
Klarer (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 4-3 Crawley
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 68.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Birmingham City
13.7% ( -0.69)	17.76% ( 0.25)	68.54% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 56.04% (

-3.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.65% (

-2.93)

35.34% (

2.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.62% (

-3.32)

57.37% (

3.33)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.84% (

-2.88)

38.15% (

2.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.08% (

-2.88)

74.92% (

2.88)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.61% (

-0.67)

9.38% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.42% (

-1.6)

31.58% (

1.61)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 13.7%

Birmingham City 68.54%

Draw 17.76%

Crawley Town	Draw	Birmingham City
2-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.9% Total : 13.7%	1-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.76%	0-2 @ 10.02% ( 0.87) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.97) 0-3 @ 7.91% ( 0.46) 1-3 @ 7.62% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 4.68% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 4.51% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.37) 0-5 @ 2.21% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.3) 1-5 @ 2.13% ( -0.18) 2-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.18) Other @ 4.47% Total : 68.54%