League One

League One | Gameweek 20

Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
4 - 3
Crawley

Jade-Jones (19', 19'), Hayes (23', 23', 61'), Kyprianou (47', 47')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Adeyemo (38', 38'), Swan (52', 52'), Showunmi (55', 55')
Darcy (10'), Darcy (10'), Mukena (31'), Mukena (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Peterborough
Monday, December 9 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Crawley Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Crawley
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 54.57%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.86%) and 3-1 (6.62%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Crawley Town
54.57% ( 0.04)	20.88% ( -0)	24.54% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 65.56% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.6% (

-0.01)

32.39% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.97% (

-0.02)

54.02% (

0.01)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.92% (

0.01)

12.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.4% (

0.02)

37.6% (

-0.02)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.57% (

-0.04)

25.43% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75% (

-0.05)

60.25% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 54.57%

Crawley Town 24.54%

Draw 20.88%

Peterborough United	Draw	Crawley Town
2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.4% 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.72% Total : 54.57%	1-1 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.07% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 20.88%	1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 24.54%