/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrawlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flinlog.png)
-
Jack Roles
10'
-
Tola Showunmi
13'
-
Tyreece John-Jules
22'
-
Jeremy Kelley
82'
-
Paudie O'Connor
19'
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Jovon Makama
39'
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Erik Ring
47'
-
Jack Moylan
48'
-
George Wickens
90'+5'
Crawley Town vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F41%2Frob-elliot.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
Result
Crawley Town
26.02%
▲
(+0.15)
Draw
23.6%
▼
(-0.02)
Lincoln City
50.37%
▼
(-0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
57.35%
▲
(+0.20)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.12%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 2.5
43.88%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 3.5
33.73%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 3.5
66.27%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 4.5
17.33%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 4.5
82.67%
▼
(-0.14)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5
69.52%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 0.5
30.48%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
33.31%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
66.69%
▼
(-0.26)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5
82.49%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
17.5%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
51.99%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
48.01%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Crawley Town
26.02%
Draw
23.59%
Lincoln City
50.37%
Crawley Town
2-1
@
6.56%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 26.02%
1-0 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 26.02%
Draw
1-1
@
11.04%
▼
(-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.59%
2-2 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.59%
Lincoln City
1-2
@
9.63%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 5.59%
0-3 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 50.37%
0-1 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 5.59%
0-3 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 50.37%
