EFL Trophy
Nov 12, 2024 7.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT LNER Stadium
  • Freddie Draper 6' goal
  • Bailey Cadamarteri 41' goal
  • Jack Moylan 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Rob Street 49' goal
  • Zane Okoro 60' goal
  • JJ McKiernan 65' goal
  • Ben House 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Farid Alfa-Ruprecht 28'

Lincoln City vs Manchester City Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 8, 2024 7.30pm
Grimsby Town 1 - 2 Lincoln

Manchester City Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 29, 2024 7.00pm
Grimsby Town 1 - 1 Man City U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 23.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result

Lincoln City 53.66% (+0.05)
Draw 22.47% (-0.03)
Manchester City Under-21s 23.88% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.92% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.24% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 40.76% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 36.85% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 63.15% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 19.67% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 80.33% (-0.07)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 84.8% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 15.2% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 56.16% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 43.84% (-0.08)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 69.48% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 30.52% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 33.26% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.75% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Lincoln City 53.66%
Draw 22.47%
Manchester City Under-21s 23.88%
Lincoln City
2-1 @ 9.77% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.13% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.17% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.64% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.89% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 53.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.8% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.47%
Manchester City Under-21s
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.29% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 23.88%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Nov 17, 2020 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET
  • Liam Bridcutt 27' yellowcard
  • Tayo Edun 59' yellowcard
  • Tom Hopper 64' yellowcard
  • Harry Anderson 76' goal
  • Conor McGrandles 81' yellowcard
  • Jorge Grant 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Felix Nmecha 87'
  • goal Keyendrah Simmonds 88'