Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.95%) and 3-2 (5.1%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Manchester City Under-21s	Draw	Norwich City Under-21s
48.07% ( -0.17)	20.66% ( 0.07)	31.27% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 72.45% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.13% (

-0.32)

25.87% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.96% (

-0.41)

46.04% (

0.41)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.32% (

-0.17)

11.68% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.25% (

-0.36)

36.75% (

0.36)

Norwich City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.03% (

-0.11)

17.97% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.18% (

-0.19)

48.81% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Manchester City Under-21s 48.07%

Norwich City Under-21s 31.27%

Draw 20.66%

Manchester City Under-21s	Draw	Norwich City Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 4% Total : 48.07%	1-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 7.13% 3-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.78% Total : 20.66%	1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.63% 3-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.66% Total : 31.27%