League One

League One | Gameweek 17

Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
1 - 0
Rotherham

Swan (20')
Anderson (46'), Mullarkey (57'), Wollacott (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Evans (47'), McWilliams (59'), Raggett (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Crawley
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Rotherham United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bradford 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Rotherham United
31.35% ( 0.02)	23.54%	45.11% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 61.5% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.87% (

0.01)

40.13% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.5% (

0.01)

62.5% (

-0.01)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1% (

0.02)

24.9% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.48% (

0.03)

59.51% (

-0.03)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.89% (

-0.01)

18.1% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.95% (

-0.01)

49.05% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 31.35%

Rotherham United 45.11%

Draw 23.54%

Crawley Town	Draw	Rotherham United
2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.27% 2-0 @ 4.36% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.35%	1-1 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.7% Total : 45.11%