Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.