Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 38.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.67%) and 2-0 (4.83%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.