Cambridge United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 5, 2024 at 7pm UK
Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
1 - 0
Chelsea U21s

Kaunda (74')
Bennett (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dyer (51')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Cambridge United and Chelsea Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea U21s 2-1 Arsenal U21s
Friday, November 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 38.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.67%) and 2-0 (4.83%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawChelsea Under-21s
38.73% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)22.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.63% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 66.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.06% (0.019999999999996 0.02)33.94% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.21% (0.022999999999996 0.02)55.8% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.77% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)18.23% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.74% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)49.26% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (0.032000000000011 0.03)18.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (0.051000000000002 0.05)49.33% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 38.73%
    Chelsea Under-21s 38.63%
    Draw 22.64%
Cambridge UnitedDrawChelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 38.73%
1-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.24% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 4.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.95% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.68% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 38.63%