FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
4 - 3
Notts County

Jade-Jones (10', 73'), Randall (77'), Odoh (87')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Scott (13'), Platt (16'), Abbott (90+6')
Austin (80'), Abbott (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Peterborough United and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Reading
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Notts County

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Notts County 0-0 Newport
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 56.41%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.89%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Notts County
56.41% ( 0.11)	19.58% ( -0.03)	24.01% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 69.99% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.52% (

0.03)

26.48% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.17% (

0.04)

46.83% (

-0.04)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.31% (

0.03)

9.69% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.69% (

0.09)

32.31% (

-0.09)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.5% (

-0.04)

22.5% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.94% (

-0.07)

56.06% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 56.41%

Notts County 24.01%

Draw 19.58%

Peterborough United	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 5.14% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.13% Total : 56.41%	1-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 19.58%	1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 24.01%