Peterborough4 - 3Notts County
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
for
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League Two
for
We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Notts County
Reading aside, Peterborough have been breaching nets for fun over the past few weeks and should need no second invitation to capitalise on Notts County's patchy form and ongoing selection woes. There ought to be no FA Cup shocks or barnstorming comebacks at the Weston Homes Stadium, where Peterborough have our vote to comfortably advance to round three, most likely with a long-awaited clean sheet. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 56.41%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 24.01% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.89%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Notts County |
56.41% ( 0.11) | 19.58% ( -0.03) | 24.01% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 69.99% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
