League One Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Elliott List 34' goal
  • Jordan Roberts 54' goal
  • Lewis Freestone 65' yellowcard
  • Jordan Roberts 85' yellowcard
  • Jamie Reid 88' goal
  • yellowcard Jamie Lindsay 22'
  • yellowcard James Wilson 26'
  • redcard Jamie Lindsay 53'
  • yellowcard Luke McCormick 71'
  • yellowcard Lino Sousa 85'

Stevenage vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
Stevenage 0 - 3 Wycombe
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dan Kemp

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
Exeter 3 - 1 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Chris Martin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result

Stevenage 51.62% (+0.21)
Draw 26.09% (-0.09)
Bristol Rovers 22.29% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.85% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.89% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 57.11% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 22.02% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 77.98% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 9.52% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 90.48% (-0.10)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 77.79% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 22.21% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 44.37% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 55.63% (-0.26)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 58.95% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 41.05% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 22.4% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 77.6% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Stevenage 51.61%
Draw 26.08%
Bristol Rovers 22.29%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 13.71% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 10.32% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.19% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.18% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.61% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.05% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.95% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.73% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 51.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.12% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.08%
Bristol Rovers
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 22.29%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Kane Hemmings 6' goal
  • Jake Forster-Caskey 24' goal
  • yellowcard Antony Evans 21'
  • yellowcard Matt Taylor 22'
  • goal Luke Thomas 29'
  • goal Chris Martin 62'
  • goal Antony Evans 67'
  • yellowcard Kamil Conteh 86'
  • redcard Kamil Conteh 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Sam Finley 37' yellowcard
  • Antony Evans 46' yellowcard
  • Aaron Collins 57' yellowcard
  • Chris Martin 83' goal
  • Tristan Crama 84' yellowcard
  • Connor Taylor 88' yellowcard
  • James Gibbons 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Louis Thompson 33'
  • yellowcard Steve Evans 34'
  • goal Jamie Reid 40'
  • yellowcard Nick Freeman 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Luther Wildin 61'
  • yellowcard Finley Burns 73'
League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Michael Bostwick 25' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Coutts 21'
  • goal Sam Finley 36'
  • goal Elliot Anderson 50'
  • goal Harry Anderson 54'
  • yellowcard Sam Finley 67'
  • goal Aaron Collins 74'
  • yellowcard Elliot Anderson 90'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Cian Harries 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Terence Vancooten 52'
  • goal Chris Lines 88'
  • goal Luke Norris 90'+6'
EFL Trophy Gameweek 3
Jan 8, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Memorial Stadium (Bristol, Gloucestershire)
  • Edward Upson 74' yellowcard
  • Edward Upson 87' redcard
  • Tony Craig 90' yellowcard
  • goal Craig Mackail-Smith 17'
  • yellowcard Ben Nugent 24'
  • yellowcard Ben Kennedy 30'
  • yellowcard Tyler Denton 45'
  • yellowcard Dean Parrett 58'
  • yellowcard Terence Vancooten 68'
League Two
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael Tonge 59' yellowcard
  • Fraser Franks 78' yellowcard
  • Dean Parrett 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ollie Clarke 57'