League One

League One | Gameweek 23

Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
3 - 0
Bristol Rovers

List (34'), Roberts (54'), Reid (88')
Freestone (65'), Roberts (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lindsay (22'), Wilson (26'), McCormick (71'), Sousa (85')
Lindsay (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Stevenage and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stevenage 0-3 Wycombe
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Bristol Rovers
51.62% ( 0.2)	26.09% ( -0.08)	22.29% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 45.85% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.89% (

0.2)

57.11% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.02% (

0.16)

77.98% (

-0.15)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.79% (

0.17)

22.21% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.37% (

0.26)

55.63% (

-0.25)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.95% (

-0)

41.05% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.4% (

-0)

77.6% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 51.61%

Bristol Rovers 22.29%

Draw 26.08%

Stevenage	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 13.71% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 51.61%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.29%