Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.