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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Northampton Town |
52.98% ( -0.38) | 25.65% ( 0.4) | 21.37% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.95% ( -1.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.6% ( -1.46) | 56.4% ( 1.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.59% ( -1.19) | 77.41% ( 1.19) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.66% ( -0.75) | 21.34% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.7% ( -1.16) | 54.3% ( 1.16) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.41% ( -0.87) | 41.59% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.92% ( -0.77) | 78.07% ( 0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.12% Total : 52.97% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 21.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
> League One Full Table |