League One

League One | Gameweek 18

Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
2 - 0
Northampton

Kemp (89'), Reid (90+1')
Piergianni (2'), Revell (3'), White (45'), Thompson (52')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Eaves (2'), Odimayo (18'), McGeehan (51')
Eaves (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Northampton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Northampton Town
52.98% ( -0.38)	25.65% ( 0.4)	21.37% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 45.95% (

-1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.6% (

-1.46)

56.4% (

1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.59% (

-1.19)

77.41% (

1.19)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

-0.75)

21.34% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.7% (

-1.16)

54.3% (

1.16)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.41% (

-0.87)

41.59% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.92% (

-0.77)

78.07% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 52.97%

Northampton Town 21.37%

Draw 25.64%

Stevenage	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.12% Total : 52.97%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.16% Total : 21.37%