League One Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • yellowcard Shayne Lavery 75'

Northampton Town vs Cambridge United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
Blackpool 0 - 0 Northampton
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Cameron McGeehan

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last game
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
Cambridge 1 - 1 Barnsley
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Dan N'Lundulu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Northampton Town 48.7% (+0.18)
Draw 23.98% (-0.12)
Cambridge United 27.32% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.22% (+0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.41% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 44.59% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 33.04% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 66.96% (-0.46)
Over 4.5 16.83% (+0.33)
Under 4.5 83.17% (-0.33)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 81.58% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 18.42% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 50.42% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 49.58% (-0.43)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5 70.14% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 29.86% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 34.04% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 65.95% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 48.7%
Draw 23.98%
Cambridge United 27.32%
Northampton Town
2-1 @ 9.51% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.36% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.44% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.24% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.27% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.88% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.37% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 48.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.75% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.98%
Cambridge United
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.74% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.32% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 27.32%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Abbey Stadium
  • Elias Kachunga 16' goal
  • Elias Kachunga 16' goal
  • Paul Digby 81' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Guthrie 82'
  • yellowcard Jon Brady 82'
League One Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Shaun McWilliams 42' yellowcard
  • Kieron Bowie 49' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 55' goal
  • yellowcard James Brophy 39'
  • goal Gassan Ahadme 77'
  • yellowcard Paul Digby 79'
  • redcard Paul Digby 80'
  • yellowcard Danny Andrew 90'
EFL Trophy
Sep 20, 2022 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Fejiri Okenabirhie 68'
  • goal Fejiri Okenabirhie 77'
FA Cup
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Abbey Stadium
  • Harvey Knibbs 13' goal
  • Sam Smith 40' goal
  • Ben Worman 48' goal
  • goal Danny Rose 75'
  • yellowcard Aaron McGowan 82'
FA Cup
Nov 6, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Kion Etete 6' goal
  • Fraser Horsfall 12' yellowcard
  • Paul Lewis 35' goal
  • Shaun McWilliams 87' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Smith 14'
  • yellowcard Sam Smith 63'
  • goal Conor Masterson 66'
League Two Gameweek 40
Mar 21, 2020 3.00pm
Abbey Stadium