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Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Cambridge United

Northampton
0 - 0
Cambridge

FT

Lavery (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
48.7% (0.175 0.17)23.98% (-0.115 -0.11)27.32% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.22% (0.34 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.41% (0.47 0.47)44.59% (-0.468 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.04% (0.45399999999999 0.45)66.96% (-0.45100000000001 -0.45)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58% (0.25200000000001 0.25)18.42% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.42% (0.425 0.42)49.58% (-0.423 -0.42)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14% (0.202 0.2)29.86% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (0.242 0.24)65.95% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 48.7%
    Cambridge United 27.32%
    Draw 23.98%
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 48.7%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 27.32%

How you voted: Northampton vs Cambridge

Northampton Town
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Cambridge United
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Cambridge
1-1
Northampton
Kachunga (16')
Digby (81')
Guthrie (82')
Brady (82')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
2-1
Cambridge
Bowie (49'), Hoskins (55')
McWilliams (42')
Ahadme (77')
Brophy (39'), Digby (79'), Andrew (90')
Digby (80')
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Northampton
0-2
Cambridge
Okenabirhie (68', 77')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Cambridge
3-1
Northampton
Knibbs (13'), Smith (40'), Worman (48')
Rose (75')
McGowan (82')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Northampton
2-2
Cambridge
Etete (6'), Lewis (35')
Horsfall (12'), McWilliams (87')
Smith (14'), Masterson (66')
Smith (63')