MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 05:14:49| >> :600:811809:811809:
Stevenage
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Mansfield Town

Stevenage
0 - 1
Mansfield


Thompson (45+1'), Wildin (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McLaughlin (48')
Baccus (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Stevenage and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-0 Mansfield
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-2 Mansfield Town

Stevenage may have won the league fixture last month, but they have not won in 90 minutes since, losing three and drawing four, including against lower-league opponents. Mansfield have a great record away to Boro, and not much should be assumed from their recent losing run, given the level of opposition they faced, so they will fancy themselves to arrest that run and reach the third round here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
StevenageDrawMansfield Town
33.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 27.35% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 39.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 49.43% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.93% (0.0020000000000024 0)56.07% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)77.15% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38%31.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97%68.03% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 33.13%
    Mansfield Town 39.5%
    Draw 27.35%
StevenageDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 2.86%
3-0 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.13%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 11.24%
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.22%
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.14%
0-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 39.5%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Mansfield

Stevenage
13.3%
Draw
20.0%
Mansfield Town
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Mansfield
0-1
Stevenage

Cargill (24'), Reed (64')
Young (32')
Wildin (66')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Mansfield
2-0
Stevenage
Lapslie (51'), Longstaff (90+3')
Perch (15'), Maris (21')

Taylor (43'), Andrade (87')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Stevenage
1-2
Mansfield
Cuthbert (55')
Vancooten (85'), Norris (90+1')
O'Toole (19'), Stirk (65')
Hawkins (12'), Stirk (90+4'), O'Toole (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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