Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 3-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.