Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 59.14%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 22.54% and a draw had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.07%) and 2-3 (5.54%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United Under-21s	Draw	Manchester United Under-21s
22.54%	18.32% ( 0.12)	59.14% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 73.05% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.02% (

-0.58)

21.97% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.14% (

-0.8)

40.85% (

0.8)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.16% (

-0.35)

20.84% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.48% (

-0.56)

53.52% (

0.56)

Manchester United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.28% (

-0.19)

7.72% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.5% (

-0.49)

27.49% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United Under-21s 22.54%

Manchester United Under-21s 59.14%

Draw 18.32%

Newcastle United Under-21s	Draw	Manchester United Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.65% 1-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 22.54%	2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.86% Total : 18.32%	1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 4.53% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.32% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.06) 2-5 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 1-6 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) 3-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.99% Total : 59.14%