FA Cup
Nov 3, 2024 2.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Tameside Stadium
  • Marcus Poscha 16' redcard
  • Jimmy Spencer 73' yellowcard
  • Craig Mahon 80' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Akins 15'
  • yellowcard George Maris 23'
  • goal Stephen Quinn 30'
  • yellowcard Stephen Quinn 70'
  • goal Ben Waine 73'
  • yellowcard Deji Oshilaja 80'
  • goal Ben Quinn 86'

Curzon Ashton vs Mansfield Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions

Mansfield Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result

Curzon Ashton 18.84% (-1.21)
Draw 24.18% (+0.01)
Mansfield Town 56.98% (+1.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.38% (-1.90)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.11% (-1.53)
Under 2.5 53.88% (+1.53)
Over 3.5 24.66% (-1.30)
Under 3.5 75.34% (+1.30)
Over 4.5 11.14% (-0.83)
Under 4.5 88.86% (+0.83)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5 57.09% (-2.24)
Under 0.5 42.91% (+2.24)
Over 1.5 20.78% (-1.96)
Under 1.5 79.21% (+1.96)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5 81.23% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 18.76% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 49.84% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 50.16% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Curzon Ashton 18.84%
Draw 24.17%
Mansfield Town 56.98%
Curzon Ashton
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 4.82% (-0.34)
2-0 @ 2.88% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 1.36% (-0.19)
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.17)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 18.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 8.05% (+0.47)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.30)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.17%
Mansfield Town
0-1 @ 13.47% (+0.75)
0-2 @ 11.27% (+0.59)
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 6.29% (+0.30)
1-3 @ 5.32% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.63% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.18)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.04)
Other @ 4%
Total : 56.98%