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FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
0 - 1
Curzon Ashton

FT(HT: 0-0)
Buckley-Ricketts (82')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Southport and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Darlington 3-0 Southport
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-1 P'boro Sports
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Southport had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Southport win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
SouthportDrawCurzon Ashton
31.75%24.35%43.89%
Both teams to score 58.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.19%43.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.81%66.19% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55%26.45% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37%61.62% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.65% (0.0020000000000024 0)52.35%
Score Analysis
    Southport 31.75%
    Curzon Ashton 43.9%
    Draw 24.35%
SouthportDrawCurzon Ashton
2-1 @ 7.54%
1-0 @ 7.07%
2-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.75%
1-1 @ 11.34%
2-2 @ 6.05%
0-0 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 9.1%
0-1 @ 8.53%
0-2 @ 6.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.87%
0-3 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 3.24%
1-4 @ 1.95%
0-4 @ 1.47%
2-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 43.9%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Southport
0-3
Curzon Ashton
Spencer (7', 84'), Mols (28')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Curzon Ashton
3-2
Southport
Mols (45+2'), Hughes (70'), Spencer (82')
Holmes (13'), Flowers (35')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Southport
2-1
Curzon Ashton
Archer (22', 38')
Walker (62')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 25
Curzon Ashton
1-1
Southport
Barton (65')
Watson (27')
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Southport
0-0
Curzon Ashton