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FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
6 - 0
Barnoldswick Town

Ditch (3'), Mols (14', 65'), Buckley-Ricketts (53'), Afuye (86'), Darby (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Curzon Ashton and Barnoldswick Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
Last Game: King's Lynn 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North

Barnoldswick Town

All competitions
Last Game: Barnoldswick Town 1-0 Lancaster
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 77.86%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Barnoldswick Town had a probability of 8.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.49%), while for a Barnoldswick Town win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawBarnoldswick Town
77.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)13.89% (0.014000000000001 0.01)8.24% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.38% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.45% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)32.55% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.79% (-0.064 -0.06)54.2% (0.061 0.06)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.26% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)6.73% (0.017 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.1% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)24.9% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Barnoldswick Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.02% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)45.98% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.29% (-0.02 -0.02)81.7% (0.017999999999986 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 77.85%
    Barnoldswick Town 8.24%
    Draw 13.89%
Curzon AshtonDrawBarnoldswick Town
2-0 @ 11.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.87% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 5.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 2.87% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 1.66% (-0.004 -0)
6-1 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 77.85%
1-1 @ 6.49% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 13.89%
1-2 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 2.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 8.24%