FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round Replays

Aug 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Yorkshire Payments Stadium (Brighouse, West Yorkshire)

Brighouse Town
2 - 2
Barnoldswick Town

Barnoldswick Town win 5-3 on penalties

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round Replays clash between Brighouse Town and Barnoldswick Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighouse Town

Last Game: Barnoldswick Town 0-0 Brighouse Town
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup

Barnoldswick Town

Last Game: Barnoldswick Town 0-0 Brighouse Town
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighouse Town win with a probability of 52.66%. A win for Barnoldswick Town had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighouse Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.47%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Barnoldswick Town win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Brighouse Town	Draw	Barnoldswick Town
52.66%	20.69%	26.65%

Both teams to score 68.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.65%

29.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.59%

50.41%

Brighouse Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.4%

11.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.42%

36.58%

Barnoldswick Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.64%

22.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.15%

55.85%

Score Analysis

Brighouse Town 52.67%

Barnoldswick Town 26.65%

Draw 20.69%

Brighouse Town	Draw	Barnoldswick Town
2-1 @ 9.01% 3-1 @ 6.47% 2-0 @ 6.02% 1-0 @ 5.59% 3-2 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 4.32% 4-1 @ 3.49% 4-2 @ 2.61% 4-0 @ 2.33% 5-1 @ 1.5% 4-3 @ 1.3% 5-2 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 3.04% Total : 52.67%	1-1 @ 8.37% 2-2 @ 6.75% 0-0 @ 2.59% 3-3 @ 2.42% Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.69%	1-2 @ 6.27% 0-1 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-2 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.26% 1-4 @ 1.17% 3-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.29% Total : 26.65%