Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Scunthorpe United in this match.