Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest South Shields win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.