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FA Cup | First Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Silentnight Stadium

Barnoldswick Town
1 - 0
Lancaster

Hill (110')
FT
(aet)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying Replays clash between Barnoldswick Town and Lancaster City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnoldswick Town

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Last Game: Lancaster 0-0 Barnoldswick Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Lancaster City

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Last Game: Lancaster 0-0 Barnoldswick Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lancaster City win with a probability of 69.76%. A draw has a probability of 16.4% and a win for Barnoldswick Town has a probability of 13.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lancaster City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-3 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Barnoldswick Town win it is 2-1 (3.86%).

Result
Barnoldswick TownDrawLancaster City
13.84% (2.808 2.81)16.4% (2.261 2.26)69.76% (-5.068 -5.07)
Both teams to score 62.07% (-0.28599999999999 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.92% (-4.123 -4.12)28.07% (4.123 4.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.16% (-5.301 -5.3)48.84% (5.301 5.3)
Barnoldswick Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (1.003 1)33.06% (-1.001 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35% (1.09 1.09)69.65% (-1.089 -1.09)
Lancaster City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.72% (-1.843 -1.84)7.27% (1.843 1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.66% (-5.09 -5.09)26.34% (5.09 5.09)
Score Analysis
    Barnoldswick Town 13.84%
    Lancaster City 69.76%
    Draw 16.4%
Barnoldswick TownDrawLancaster City
2-1 @ 3.86% (0.736 0.74)
1-0 @ 2.66% (0.67 0.67)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.233 0.23)
2-0 @ 1.47% (0.4 0.4)
3-1 @ 1.43% (0.303 0.3)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 13.84%
1-1 @ 6.98% (1.174 1.17)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.507 0.51)
0-0 @ 2.4% (0.555 0.56)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 16.4%
1-2 @ 9.14% (0.689 0.69)
0-2 @ 8.26% (0.41 0.41)
1-3 @ 7.99% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-3 @ 7.22% (-0.406 -0.41)
0-1 @ 6.3% (0.915 0.92)
1-4 @ 5.23% (-0.745 -0.75)
0-4 @ 4.73% (-0.824 -0.82)
2-3 @ 4.42%
2-4 @ 2.9% (-0.324 -0.32)
1-5 @ 2.74% (-0.74 -0.74)
0-5 @ 2.48% (-0.756 -0.76)
2-5 @ 1.52% (-0.358 -0.36)
1-6 @ 1.2% (-0.493 -0.49)
0-6 @ 1.08% (-0.488 -0.49)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 69.76%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
First Round Qualifying
Lancaster
0-0
Barnoldswick Town