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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Giant Axe

Lancaster
0 - 0
Barnoldswick Town

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Lancaster City and Barnoldswick Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lancaster City

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Last Game: Lancaster 2-1 Accrington
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Barnoldswick Town

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Last Game: Northwich Victoria 2-4 Barnoldswick Town
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lancaster City win with a probability of 67.22%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Barnoldswick Town had a probability of 15.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lancaster City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.76%), while for a Barnoldswick Town win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Lancaster CityDrawBarnoldswick Town
67.22% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)16.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)15.92% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 66.05% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.4% (0.054000000000002 0.05)25.6% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.3% (0.069000000000003 0.07)45.7% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Lancaster City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.86% (0.0039999999999907 0)7.14% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.01% (0.01700000000001 0.02)25.99% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Barnoldswick Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (0.069000000000003 0.07)28.87% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (0.088000000000001 0.09)64.74% (-0.089999999999989 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Lancaster City 67.22%
    Barnoldswick Town 15.92%
    Draw 16.86%
Lancaster CityDrawBarnoldswick Town
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.32% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.44% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.18%
3-2 @ 4.88% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 3.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-2 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
4-3 @ 1.33% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 67.22%
1-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 16.86%
1-2 @ 4.2% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 15.92%