National League North | Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blackwell Meadows

Darlington
3 - 0
Southport

McGowan (19', 70'), Nelson (81')
Leesley (2'), Evans (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Doyle (79')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Southport.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 47.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Southport had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result
DarlingtonDrawSouthport
47.88% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)26.15% (0.082000000000001 0.08)25.97% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 49.27% (-0.319 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.51% (-0.381 -0.38)54.49% (0.374 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15% (-0.318 -0.32)75.84% (0.312 0.31)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.23% (-0.164 -0.16)22.77% (0.157 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.54% (-0.24100000000001 -0.24)56.46% (0.234 0.23)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.8% (-0.282 -0.28)36.2% (0.274 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.02% (-0.288 -0.29)72.98% (0.28099999999999 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Darlington 47.87%
    Southport 25.97%
    Draw 26.15%
DarlingtonDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 12.19% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 47.87%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.24% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 25.97%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Darlington
2-0
Southport
Main (6'), Cornish (9')
Jan 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Southport
2-0
Darlington
Bennett (18', 88')
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0


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