Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.